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Bayesian Optimization With Skopt | Get Help In Machine Learning Optimization

Problem statement

Import Libraries:

import numpy as np
np.random.seed(777)

%matplotlib inline
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
plt.rcParams["figure.figsize"] = (10, 6)

Toy example

noise_level = 0.1

def f(x, noise_level=noise_level):
return np.sin(5 * x[0]) * (1 - np.tanh(x[0] ** 2)) + np.random.randn() * noise_level

Note. In skopt, functions 𝑓f are assumed to take as input a 1D vector 𝑥x represented as an array-like and to return a scalar f(x).

# Plot f(x) + contours
x = np.linspace(-2, 2, 400).reshape(-1, 1)
fx = [f(x_i, noise_level=0.0) for x_i in x]
plt.plot(x, fx, "r--", label="True (unknown)")
plt.fill(np.concatenate([x, x[::-1]]),
np.concatenate(([fx_i - 1.9600 * noise_level for fx_i in fx],
[fx_i + 1.9600 * noise_level for fx_i in fx[::-1]])),
alpha=.2, fc="r", ec="None")
plt.legend()
plt.grid()
plt.show()

Bayesian optimization based on gaussian process regression is implemented in skopt.gp_minimize and can be carried out as follows:

Use Gaussion Model

from skopt import gp_minimize
from skopt.acquisition import gaussian_lcb
from sklearn.gaussian_process import GaussianProcessRegressor
from sklearn.gaussian_process.kernels import Matern

# Note that we have fixed the hyperparameters of the kernel, because it is
# sufficient for this easy problem.
gp = GaussianProcessRegressor(kernel=Matern(length_scale_bounds="fixed"),
alpha=noise_level**2, random_state=0)

res = gp_minimize(f,                  # the function to minimize
[(-2.0, 2.0)],      # the bounds on each dimension of x
x0=[0.],            # the starting point
acq="LCB",          # the acquisition function (optional)
base_estimator=gp,  # a GP estimator (optional)
n_calls=15,         # the number of evaluations of f including at x0
n_random_starts=0,  # the number of random initialization points
random_state=777)

Accordingly, the approximated minimum is found to be:

"x^*=%.4f, f(x^*)=%.4f" % (res.x[0], res.fun)

For further inspection of the results, attributes of the res named tuple provide the following information:

• x [float]: location of the minimum.

• fun [float]: function value at the minimum.

• models: surrogate models used for each iteration.

• x_iters [array]: location of function evaluation for each iteration.

• func_vals [array]: function value for each iteration.

• space [Space]: the optimization space.

• specs [dict]: parameters passed to the function.

for key, value in sorted(res.items()):
print(key, "=", value)
print()

output

fun = -0.925940846889

func_vals = [ 0.22468304  0.05499527 -0.09826131 -0.2306291   0.16016027  0.04066236
0.12350636  0.08315037  0.10237308 -0.39991577  0.12857691 -0.64048308
-0.89628662 -0.92594085 -0.83922214]

models = [GaussianProcessRegressor(alpha=0.010000000000000002, copy_X_train=True,
kernel=Matern(length_scale=1, nu=1.5), n_restarts_optimizer=0,
normalize_y=False, optimizer='fmin_l_bfgs_b', random_state=0), GaussianProcessRegressor(alpha=0.010000000000000002, copy_X_train=True,
kernel=Matern(length_scale=1, nu=1.5), n_restarts_optimizer=0,
normalize_y=False, optimizer='fmin_l_bfgs_b', random_state=0), GaussianProcessRegressor(alpha=0.010000000000000002, copy_X_train=True,
kernel=Matern(length_scale=1, nu=1.5), n_restarts_optimizer=0,
normalize_y=False, optimizer='fmin_l_bfgs_b', random_state=0), GaussianProcessRegressor(alpha=0.010000000000000002, copy_X_train=True,
kernel=Matern(length_scale=1, nu=1.5), n_restarts_optimizer=0,
normalize_y=False, optimizer='fmin_l_bfgs_b', random_state=0), GaussianProcessRegressor(alpha=0.010000000000000002, copy_X_train=True,
kernel=Matern(length_scale=1, nu=1.5), n_restarts_optimizer=0,
normalize_y=False, optimizer='fmin_l_bfgs_b', random_state=0), GaussianProcessRegressor(alpha=0.010000000000000
-----
-----
space = <skopt.space.Space object at 0x7efed865c390>

specs = {'function': 'gp_minimize', 'args': {'xi': 0.01, 'alpha': 1e-09, 'search': 'auto', 'base_estimator': GaussianProcessRegressor(alpha=0.010000000000000002, copy_X_train=True,
kernel=Matern(length_scale=1, nu=1.5), n_restarts_optimizer=0,
normalize_y=False, optimizer='fmin_l_bfgs_b', random_state=0), 'y0': None, 'kappa': 1.96, 'n_calls': 15, 'n_restarts_optimizer': 5, 'dimensions': [(-2.0, 2.0)], 'x0': [0.0], 'n_random_starts': 0, 'acq': 'LCB', 'func': <function f at 0x7efec32c3730>, 'random_state': 777, 'n_points': 500}}

x = [-0.3216749018934576]

x_iters = [[0.0], [-2.0], [2.0], [1.0783056681658953], [-1.0607209567449765], [1.5140003732987382], [0.62375407663414983], [1.2243916295115473], [-1.5528927044981757], [-0.53675650999716518], [-0.6799804656778119], [-0.36427320742932195], [-0.34695572665820723], [-0.3216749018934576], [-0.30662911602363885]]


Together these attributes can be used to visually inspect the results of the minimization, such as the convergence trace or the acquisition function at the last iteration:

from skopt.plots import plot_convergence
plot_convergence(res)

Let us visually examine

1. The approximation of the fit gp model to the original function.

2. The acquistion values (The lower confidence bound) that determine the next point to be queried.

At the points closer to the points previously evaluated at, the variance dips to zero.

The first column shows the following:

1. The true function.

2. The approximation to the original function by the gaussian process model

3. How sure the GP is about the function.

The second column shows the acquisition function values after every surrogate model is fit. It is possible that we do not choose the global minimum but a local minimum depending on the minimizer used to minimize the acquisition function.

plt.rcParams["figure.figsize"] = (20, 20)

x = np.linspace(-2, 2, 400).reshape(-1, 1)
fx = np.array([f(x_i, noise_level=0.0) for x_i in x])

# Plot first five iterations.
for n_iter in range(5):
gp = res.models[n_iter]
curr_x_iters = res.x_iters[: n_iter+1]
curr_func_vals = res.func_vals[: n_iter+1]

# Plot true function.
plt.subplot(5, 2, 2*n_iter+1)
plt.plot(x, fx, "r--", label="True (unknown)")
plt.fill(np.concatenate([x, x[::-1]]),
np.concatenate([fx - 1.9600 * noise_level, fx[::-1] + 1.9600 * noise_level]),
alpha=.2, fc="r", ec="None")

# Plot GP(x) + contours
y_pred, sigma = gp.predict(x, return_std=True)
plt.plot(x, y_pred, "g--", label=r"$\mu_{GP}(x)$")
plt.fill(np.concatenate([x, x[::-1]]),
np.concatenate([y_pred - 1.9600 * sigma,
(y_pred + 1.9600 * sigma)[::-1]]),
alpha=.2, fc="g", ec="None")

# Plot sampled points
plt.plot(curr_x_iters, curr_func_vals,
"r.", markersize=15, label="Observations")
plt.title(r"$x_{%d} = %.4f, f(x_{%d}) = %.4f$" % (
n_iter, res.x_iters[n_iter][0], n_iter, res.func_vals[n_iter]))
plt.grid()

if n_iter == 0:
plt.legend(loc="best", prop={'size': 8}, numpoints=1)

plt.subplot(5, 2, 2*n_iter+2)
acq = gaussian_lcb(x, gp)
plt.plot(x, acq, "b", label="LCB(x)")
plt.fill_between(x.ravel(), -2.0, acq.ravel(), alpha=0.3, color='blue')

next_x = np.asarray(res.x_iters[n_iter + 1])
next_acq = gaussian_lcb(next_x.reshape(-1, 1), gp)
plt.plot(next_x[0], next_acq, "bo", markersize=10, label="Next query point")
plt.grid()

if n_iter == 0:
plt.legend(loc="best", prop={'size': 12}, numpoints=1)

plt.suptitle("Sequential model-based minimization using gp_minimize.", fontsize=20)
plt.show()


# Plot f(x) + contours
plt.rcParams["figure.figsize"] = (10, 6)
x = np.linspace(-2, 2, 400).reshape(-1, 1)
fx = [f(x_i, noise_level=0.0) for x_i in x]
plt.plot(x, fx, "r--", label="True (unknown)")
plt.fill(np.concatenate([x, x[::-1]]),
np.concatenate(([fx_i - 1.9600 * noise_level for fx_i in fx],
[fx_i + 1.9600 * noise_level for fx_i in fx[::-1]])),
alpha=.2, fc="r", ec="None")

# Plot GP(x) + concours
gp = res.models[-1]
y_pred, sigma = gp.predict(x, return_std=True)

plt.plot(x, y_pred, "g--", label=r"$\mu_{GP}(x)$")
plt.fill(np.concatenate([x, x[::-1]]),
np.concatenate([y_pred - 1.9600 * sigma,
(y_pred + 1.9600 * sigma)[::-1]]),
alpha=.2, fc="g", ec="None")

# Plot sampled points
plt.plot(res.x_iters,
res.func_vals,
"r.", markersize=15, label="Observations")

# Plot LCB(x) + next query point
acq = gaussian_lcb(x, gp)
plt.plot(x, gaussian_lcb(x, gp), "b", label="LCB(x)")
next_x = np.argmin(acq)
plt.plot([x[next_x]], [acq[next_x]], "b.", markersize=15, label="Next query point")

plt.title(r"$x^* = %.4f, f(x^*) = %.4f$" % (res.x[0], res.fun))
plt.legend(loc="best")
plt.grid()

plt.show()

Output:

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